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. Amazingly, U.S. stocks rebound, bonds actually out of a bull market. In fact, the trick available Bernanke has been quite limited. Fed interest rate has been reduced to 0 to 0.25%,UGG ブーツ 人気, the interest could not be reduced; dollar exchange rate has remained at historically low levels, the exchange rate policy is to run out of steam; quantitative easing have on the market and stimulate the economy have some effect,UGG ブーツ アウトレット, but not waiting for the exit, economic has been prodding it. Pushed QE3, the Fed met with an unprecedented internal resistance, congressional and media criticism is also prevalent. August non-farm payrolls data, there has been this year, never had a zero growth confirms the economic recovery is very slow, the risk of recession significantly up quantitative easing, indeed asset prices have a stimulating effect,UGG ブーツ 店舗,アグ モカシン, but on the real economy (especially in the job market) will help is not. If you can not increase employment QE2,UGG ブーツ 正規品, QE3 can not do,アグ モカシン, but in vain increase mobility for fueling inflation. Fiscal policy from the White House, the U.S. fiscal deficit will be overweight because of the election, but doing so will only Fed added more trouble. Postwar history shows that almost without exception occurs during periods of high inflation debt gets narrower, so that the monetary policy of the road, until the central bank was forced to raise interest rates sharply, monetary tightening. After the payrolls data, QE3 baked voice has been enhanced. However, I believe the Fed is still subject to inflation and opposition politics. After September 20 to 21 regular adjustment of the portfolio in bonds, increasing the likelihood of risk weights greater than the implementation of QE3. Bernanke JacksonHole the city wall, incense Caoqin, smiling. Left with a boy, holding a sword, and right there is a boy, holding a stag tail. There are more than twenty people, down sweep, near absence of people. Short generals shocked, "Arbour his life carefully, empty city will be a fraud," Ji Ling retreat. Bernanke at the annual meeting of the Fed sang an empty city, neither QE3, there is no other new policy initiatives, even last year, the practice set out the various options, do not bother to mention this year, but extended the next Fed meeting time. Amazingly, U.S. stocks rebound, bonds actually out of a bull market. In fact, the trick available Bernanke has been quite limited. Fed interest rate has been reduced to 0 to 0.25%, the interest could not be reduced; dollar exchange rate has remained at historically low levels, the exchange rate policy is to run out of steam; quantitative easing have on the market and stimulate the economy have some effect, but not waiting for the exit, economic has been prodding it. Pushed QE3, the Fed met with an unprecedented internal resistance, congressional and media criticism is also prevalent. August non-farm payrolls data, there has been this year, never had zero growth, confirms the extremely slow economic recovery, recession risks significantly meter off the city, is the legendary Zhuge Liang, the classic history. But did not result in reversal of the historical process, Shu still subjugated
,UGG ブーツ アウトレット。神奇的是,美股止跌反弹,国债市场竟走出一轮牛市。其实,伯南克的可用之招已经相当有限。联储利率已降至0~0.25%,利息已减无可减;美元汇率已徘徊在历史低位,汇率政策也到强弩之末;量化宽松政策曾经对市场和经济有一些刺激效果,可是未等退出,经济已打回原形了。再推QE3,在联储内部遭遇到空前的抗拒,国会与媒体的批评声也不绝于耳。八月非农业就业数据,出现了今年未曾有过的零增长,印证了经济复苏极其缓慢,衰退风险明显升量化宽松政策,的确对资产价格有刺激作用,但是对实体经济(尤其是就业市场)则帮助不大。如果QE2无法增加就业,QE3也做不到,只是徒然增加流动性,为通货膨胀火上加油。财政政策来自白宫,美国的赤字财政因大选还会加码,UGG ブーツ 店舗,但是这样做只会为联储添上更大的烦恼。战后历史表明,高负债期间几乎无一例外地出现物价上涨,令货币政策的路越走越窄,直至央行被迫大幅提高利率,收紧银根。非农数据之后,QE3出炉的呼声有所增强。不过笔者相信联储仍受制于通货膨胀与政治上的反对声音。9月20日至21日例会之后,调整资产组合中债券的年期,加大风险权重的可能性大过实施QE3。伯南克在JacksonHole的城头,焚香操琴,笑容可掬。左有一童子,手捧宝剑,右有一童子,手执麈尾。有二十余百姓,低头洒扫,傍若无人。空头将领大惊,“阿伯平生谨慎,空城必有诈”,急令退兵。伯南克在联储年会上唱了一出空城计,既没有QE3,UGG ブーツ 正規品,也没有其它新的政策举措,连去年罗列出各种选择的做法,今年也懒得再提,只是延长了下次联储开会的时间。神奇的是,美股止跌反弹,国债市场竟走出一轮牛市。其实,伯南克的可用之招已经相当有限。联储利率已降至0~0.25%,利息已减无可减;美元汇率已徘徊在历史低位,汇率政策也到强弩之末;量化宽松政策曾经对市场和经济有一些刺激效果,可是未等退出,经济已打回原形了。再推QE3,在联储内部遭遇到空前的抗拒,国会与媒体的批评声也不绝于耳。八月非农业就业数据,出现了今年未曾有过的零增长,印证了经济复苏极其缓慢,衰退风险明显升空城计,UGG ブーツ 人気,乃诸葛孔明之传奇,历史之经典。但是历史进程并未因此而逆转,蜀国照样亡国了
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